Survey Time!

OK so earlier this month I put a questionnaire out to all the folks in my Canadian Politics seminar course that was based on the election. I will now make it public and also present my answers:

1. Will any party win more than 155 seats? No.
2. Will any party capture more than 35% of the national popular vote? Yes.
3. Will the Bloc Quebecois win more than 55 seats? Yes, probably more than 60.
4. Will the Bloc capture the "50 percent plus 1" of the popular vote that they have been seeking to use as a foundation for a future referendum? Almost certainly
5. Will the Conservatives win more than 30 seats in Ontario? Yep.
6. Will the NDP win more than 25 seats nationally? Yes, I think they'll get upwards of 30.
7. Will the Liberals win any seats in Alberta? Oh such a tough call. Will McLellan's luck run out? I think that this time around she is finished.
8. Will the Conservatives win any seats in Quebec? Yes, close to 5.
9. Will the Green Party elect its first-ever MP? Nope.
10. Will the Liberals elect MPs in all 10 provinces? No, see #7.
11. Will Michael Ignatieff win in Etobicoke-Lakeshore? I hope so, and I believe he will.
12. Will more than 3 current Cabinet ministers fail to win re-election? Definitely, and you can start with Jean Lapierre.
13. Will Jean Lapierre be re-elected? NO
14. Will the NDP's Olivia Chow be elected? Yes, especially in the aftermath of the chow chow debacle.
15. Here's the really tough one: Provide an overall seat breakdown by party, based on a 308-seat Parliament.
Conservatives: 122
Liberals: 92
Bloc Quebecois: 66
NDP: 28

There you have it. Feel free to fill in your own ideas and thoughts as well.